Tuesday, 29 April 2008

Snooker Quarter Finals

Second round seemed to go better than the first, I shall publish some results soon.
Quarter Final system preferences are :

1.98 Day (S=4) v Hendry
1.16 O'Sullivan (S=20) v Liang
1.91 Ebdon (S=4) v Carter
1.27 Maguire (S=16) v Perry

Saturday, 26 April 2008

Snooker Second Round Part 2

Remaining second round matches as below:

1.41 O'Sullivan (S=12) v Williams
1.71 Wenbo (S=7) v Swail
1.51 Maguire (S=25) v Robertson
2.80 Bingham (S=11) v Perry

Thursday, 24 April 2008

Snooker Second Round Part 1

First round results so far have been disappointing, although there were some unfortunate final frame defeats. So here are this discredited system's tips for the first half of the second round matches ...

1.62 Ebdon (S=8) v King
2.80 Day (S=9) v Higgins
1.52 Ding (S=6) v Hendry
1.34 Murphy (S=23) v Carter

As the second round matches are longer, perhaps meaning less chance for misfortune?

Saturday, 19 April 2008

World Championship Snooker

For the World Championship snooker, Wah has compared the implied relative skill levels of the competitors from the Betfair championship odds last night to the alternative relative skill levels derived from all the results this season. Therefore we now have a list of the snooker players from most underrated to most overrated by the available odds.

1 Shaun Murphy
2 Mark Selby
3 Marco Fu
4 Ken Doherty
5 Ronnie O'Sullivan
6 Stephen Maguire
7 Ding Junhui
8 Dave Harold
9 Ryan Day
10 Nigel Bond
11 Stuart Bingham
12 Stephen Lee
13 Stephen Hendry
14 Michael Judge
15 Anthony Hamilton
16 Barry Hawkins
17 Mark Williams
18 Jamie Cope
19 John Higgins
20 Peter Ebdon
21 Mark Allen
22 Joe Perry
23 Mark Davis
24 Allister Carter
25 Liang Wenbo
26 Graeme Dott
27 Matthew Stevens
28 Mark King
29 Steve Davis
30 Liu Chuang
31 Neil Robertson
32 Joe Swail

Wah therefore contends that in order to make a profit from the World Championship Snooker betting, simply back the higher player in the above list to win each match.
Therefore in the first round Wah will be observing the fortunes of these 16 players:

Odds,Player,Strength
1.5 Higgins S=8
1.44 Day S=5
2.5 Fu S=4
1.93 Hendry S=8
1.14 O'Sullivan S=25
1.42 Williams S=6
1.68 Lee S=20
1.44 Doherty S=21
1.2 Murphy S=7
2.32 Hawkins S=8
1.21 Selby S=26
2.2 Cope S=2
4.1 Bond S=21
1.33 Maguire S=9
1.65 Bingham S=18
1.59 Perry S=4

Strength is the number of places between the two players on the under/over-rated list above. This could be a simple measure for picking out the best bets or adjusting stakes according to the strength of the bets.